Quaest Poll: New Numbers for Brazil's Presidential Election
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A new poll released by Quaest has revealed presidential election numbers in 23 Brazilian states and the Federal District, offering a detailed look at the political landscape one month before the first round of voting.
According to the survey, in the state of Paraná, Flávio Bolsonaro holds 44% support, compared with 30% for Lula. These figures represent voting intentions for the first round of the presidential election.
The poll is part of Quaest's Real Time project, which continuously tracks the electoral race between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro as the country approaches the vote. Such surveys are widely used by journalists, analysts and political campaigns to assess shifting public opinion ahead of major elections.
Quaest is one of Brazil's most recognised polling institutes, and its data is frequently cited in national media coverage of elections. By breaking down results state by state, including in Paraná and the Federal District, the survey allows for a more detailed picture of regional support than a single national number would provide.
With the first round now just a month away, both campaigns are likely to closely study results like these, as regional differences can play a significant role in determining a candidate's overall strategy. The comparison between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro highlights how competitive the race has become in specific parts of the country.
It is worth noting that pre-election polls provide only a snapshot of public sentiment at a given moment and are not predictions of the final result. Voting intentions can shift in the weeks leading up to an election, particularly as campaigns intensify and candidates make their final appeals to voters across the surveyed states.
Vocabulary7 words
- poll
- a study asking many people questions to learn opinions before an event
- first round
- the first vote in an election, sometimes followed by a second vote
- presidential election
- the vote that decides who becomes a country's president
- electoral race
- the competition between candidates trying to win an election
- public opinion
- what many people in a place generally think or feel
- polling institute
- an organisation that studies what people think by asking them questions
- voting intention
- what someone plans to do when they vote
Quiz
Answer key
1. Presidential election numbers in 23 states and the Federal District 2. Flávio Bolsonaro ahead with 44% and Lula at 30% 3. False
Discussion questions
- Why might polling companies break down results by state instead of only giving a national number?
- What factors could cause voting intentions to change in the month before an election?
- How much attention do you think campaigns should pay to regional poll results like the ones from Paraná?
- Why is it important for readers to understand that polls are not guaranteed predictions?